Demis Hassabis: Predictions from Google DeepMind's CEO

 

Demis Hassabis: Predictions from Google DeepMind's CEO

Speaking at the Axios AI+ SF Summit on Thursday, Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis declared that artificial general intelligence—AI matching or exceeding human capabilities across all cognitive tasks—could arrive within five to ten years, calling it "probably the most transformative moment in human history".​

The prediction comes as Google's Gemini model has surged in adoption, triggering a "code red" at OpenAI just weeks earlier. Hassabis, who won the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2024 for his work on AlphaFold, told Axios' Mike Allen that the Nobel recognition has helped open doors to audiences more receptive to his warnings about AI's trajectory.

Technical Hurdles and Security Threats

Achieving AGI will require "one or two additional major breakthroughs" beyond current large language model scaling, comparable to past innovations like the Transformer architecture or AlphaGo, Hassabis explained. He identified "world models"—systems that simulate physical reality to predict how it works—as a major frontier over the next 12 months.​

More urgently, Hassabis warned that some AI dangers are already materializing. "There are certain 'catastrophic outcomes,' such as cyberattacks targeting energy and water systems, that are imminent threats," he said, adding that "this is probably already occurring to some extent". The warning reflects Google's heavy investment in cybersecurity, including its Big Sleep AI agent, which recently discovered and helped patch a critical SQLite vulnerability before it could be exploited.​

Industry Transformation

Other tech leaders at the summit echoed themes of rapid change. Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora predicted that "almost everyone in this room, or outside of it, will find their jobs fundamentally altered in five years, myself included". Bret Taylor, co-founder of Sierra and chairman of OpenAI's board, cautioned against dismissing AI as hype, saying "a select few companies will emerge as truly generational". Box CEO Aaron Levie noted the tech industry thrives with multiple viable AI competitors simultaneously battling for technical leadership, adding, "When you consider it over a five-year timeline, it's essentially up for grabs".​​

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